Lebanon 🇱🇧
Emerging disruption pressure across 37 representative jobs covering 90.8% of the country's modelled GDP. The Rebellion Risk profile adds a structural-pressure view of how disruption may interact with economic strain, governance, civic space, support systems, and history. Government Preparedness then measures observable capacity to prevent, absorb, and respond to AI-related shocks. These are evidence indexes, not forecasts.
- Job Doom
- 23.6
- GDP coverage
- 90.8%
- Confidence
- 71/100
- Economic data
- 2024
0 comments · 0 votes
Sign in to join the discussion →
No comments yet. Start the discussion.
Jobs shaping Lebanon's score
GDP shares are transparent estimates derived from World Bank sector value added and a fixed sector-to-occupation allocation. They describe economic importance, not the percentage of workers in each job.
-
Retail salespersons
Trade, transport and distribution- Estimated GDP share
- 7.83%
- Job Doom
- 31.8
- Confidence
- 68/100
-
Heavy truck and lorry drivers
Trade, transport and distribution- Estimated GDP share
- 5.80%
- Job Doom
- 8.6
- Confidence
- 70/100
-
Cashiers and ticket clerks
Trade, transport and distribution- Estimated GDP share
- 4.35%
- Job Doom
- 18.6
- Confidence
- 71/100
-
Hotel and office cleaners
Hospitality and personal services- Estimated GDP share
- 3.79%
- Job Doom
- 4.2
- Confidence
- 67/100
-
Registered nurses
Public, health and education services- Estimated GDP share
- 3.55%
- Job Doom
- 12.2
- Confidence
- 80/100
-
Cooks
Hospitality and personal services- Estimated GDP share
- 3.39%
- Job Doom
- 7.1
- Confidence
- 69/100
-
Hotel receptionists
Hospitality and personal services- Estimated GDP share
- 3.39%
- Job Doom
- 27.8
- Confidence
- 71/100
-
Primary school teachers
Public, health and education services- Estimated GDP share
- 3.30%
- Job Doom
- 15.0
- Confidence
- 76/100
-
Secondary school teachers
Public, health and education services- Estimated GDP share
- 3.05%
- Job Doom
- 27.0
- Confidence
- 75/100
-
Waiters
Hospitality and personal services- Estimated GDP share
- 2.99%
- Job Doom
- 9.8
- Confidence
- 70/100
-
Client information workers
Trade, transport and distribution- Estimated GDP share
- 2.90%
- Job Doom
- 54.5
- Confidence
- 70/100
-
Real estate agents
Trade, transport and distribution- Estimated GDP share
- 2.90%
- Job Doom
- 28.4
- Confidence
- 71/100
-
Logistics and transport clerks
Trade, transport and distribution- Estimated GDP share
- 2.61%
- Job Doom
- 26.3
- Confidence
- 76/100
-
Supply and distribution managers
Trade, transport and distribution- Estimated GDP share
- 2.61%
- Job Doom
- 18.9
- Confidence
- 82/100
-
Government administration officers
Public, health and education services- Estimated GDP share
- 2.54%
- Job Doom
- 24.2
- Confidence
- 74/100
-
Medical practitioners
Public, health and education services- Estimated GDP share
- 2.54%
- Job Doom
- 11.7
- Confidence
- 69/100
-
Nursing assistants
Public, health and education services- Estimated GDP share
- 2.54%
- Job Doom
- 7.6
- Confidence
- 64/100
-
Child care workers
Hospitality and personal services- Estimated GDP share
- 2.39%
- Job Doom
- 7.4
- Confidence
- 75/100
-
Travel consultants
Hospitality and personal services- Estimated GDP share
- 2.19%
- Job Doom
- 42.5
- Confidence
- 67/100
-
Medical records specialists
Public, health and education services- Estimated GDP share
- 2.03%
- Job Doom
- 56.1
- Confidence
- 64/100
-
Police officers
Public, health and education services- Estimated GDP share
- 2.03%
- Job Doom
- 11.9
- Confidence
- 69/100
-
Social and human service assistants
Public, health and education services- Estimated GDP share
- 2.03%
- Job Doom
- 11.5
- Confidence
- 72/100
-
Customer service representatives
Business, finance and digital services- Estimated GDP share
- 1.96%
- Job Doom
- 60.3
- Confidence
- 70/100
-
Hotel managers
Hospitality and personal services- Estimated GDP share
- 1.80%
- Job Doom
- 20.0
- Confidence
- 73/100
-
Security guards
Public, health and education services- Estimated GDP share
- 1.78%
- Job Doom
- 7.1
- Confidence
- 66/100
-
General and operations managers
Business, finance and digital services- Estimated GDP share
- 1.63%
- Job Doom
- 21.0
- Confidence
- 72/100
-
Crop and nursery farmworkers
Agriculture, forestry and fishing- Estimated GDP share
- 1.54%
- Job Doom
- 4.4
- Confidence
- 74/100
-
Secretaries and administrative assistants
Business, finance and digital services- Estimated GDP share
- 1.47%
- Job Doom
- 46.0
- Confidence
- 72/100
-
Accountants and auditors
Business, finance and digital services- Estimated GDP share
- 1.31%
- Job Doom
- 37.8
- Confidence
- 73/100
-
Software developers
Business, finance and digital services- Estimated GDP share
- 1.31%
- Job Doom
- 34.8
- Confidence
- 66/100
-
Data entry clerks
Business, finance and digital services- Estimated GDP share
- 1.14%
- Job Doom
- 62.7
- Confidence
- 65/100
-
Financial and investment analysts
Business, finance and digital services- Estimated GDP share
- 1.14%
- Job Doom
- 54.2
- Confidence
- 71/100
-
Market research and marketing professionals
Business, finance and digital services- Estimated GDP share
- 1.14%
- Job Doom
- 56.4
- Confidence
- 70/100
-
Compliance and regulatory officers
Business, finance and digital services- Estimated GDP share
- 0.98%
- Job Doom
- 19.5
- Confidence
- 74/100
-
Computer programmers
Business, finance and digital services- Estimated GDP share
- 0.98%
- Job Doom
- 62.5
- Confidence
- 63/100
-
Lawyers
Business, finance and digital services- Estimated GDP share
- 0.98%
- Job Doom
- 22.2
- Confidence
- 72/100
-
Mechanical machinery assemblers
Manufacturing- Estimated GDP share
- 0.87%
- Job Doom
- 9.4
- Confidence
- 65/100
Country score progression
Historical country points reuse the same current GDP weights so changes represent new occupation evidence rather than changes in economic composition.
- 27.1
- 23.6
- 23.6
Sector profile and provenance
Reported sector shares. The latest available value is used for each top-level sector. Manufacturing is shown inside industry and is not added to the 100% total a second time.
- Agriculture
- 2.7%
- Industry
- 6.7%
- Manufacturing within GDP
- 3.6%
- Services
- 90.7%
Structural pressure in Lebanon
Emerging structural pressure at 39.7 out of 100. This is a comparative early-warning index, not a probability or prediction that an uprising will occur.
- Small protest pressure
- 27.9
- Emerging structural pressure
- Medium protest pressure
- 29.4
- Emerging structural pressure
- Large protest pressure
- 40.4
- Material structural pressure
Current input snapshot
- Unemployment
- 11.0% (2023)
- Youth unemployment
- 22.7% (2023)
- Inflation
- 14.6% (2025)
- Political stability
- 42.2/100
- Government effectiveness
- 29.4/100
- Rule of law
- 38.3/100
- Voice and accountability
- 43.3/100
- Civic space
- Obstructed (50/100)
- Social protection
- 32.4% (ILO income-group estimate)
Recorded protest history
- Economic protests in Carnegie tracker
- 0
- Economic protests since 2023
- 0
- Largest recorded size band
- Not recorded
- UCDP violent political protest events
- 0
- Latest UCDP year
- Not recorded
No economically motivated protest is recorded for this country in the selective Carnegie tracker. This is not evidence that none occurred.
Confidence is reduced for modelled inputs. Social protection uses the ILO's 2023 lower middle income group estimate because a complete country-level public download was unavailable. Other fallback fields: none.
Rebellion Risk timeline
This first publication establishes the initial snapshot. Complete future reports append comparable points instead of silently replacing earlier assessments.
- 39.7Initial published snapshot
Compare all countries and impact layers → Read the complete method →
Public capacity in Lebanon
Limited observed preparedness at 32.4 out of 100. This comparison measures documented capacity, not a guarantee, endorsement, or prediction of future government performance.
- Prevent
- 28.2
- Prevent avoidable AI harm
- Absorb
- 32.4
- Absorb economic and cyber shocks
- Respond
- 38.9
- Respond lawfully and effectively
Current input snapshot
- Responsible AI safeguards
- 12.5/100 (2026)
- Digital state capacity
- 54.5/100 (2024)
- Cyber resilience
- 32.4/100 (2024)
- Social shock protection
- 32.4/100 (2023)
- Institutional execution
- 36.8/100 (2024)
- Crisis-response capacity
- 43.0/100 (2026)
Model interpretation
- Weakest stage
- Prevent avoidable AI harm
- Overall method
- Weighted geometric mean
- Observed fallbacks
- 0
- Confidence
- 86/100
Prevention carries 40% of the final score. Absorption and response each carry 30%. The geometric mean limits compensation when one stage is materially weaker.
Confidence is reduced for modelled inputs. Social protection uses the ILO's 2023 lower middle income estimate. Other fallbacks: none.
Government Preparedness timeline
This first publication establishes the initial snapshot. Complete future reports append comparable points and retain the previous validated generation.
- 32.4Initial published snapshot
Compare all countries and capacity layers → Read the complete method →
People and companies
Associations reuse reviewed People country codes and Company headquarters data. They support navigation only and never change a country or job score.
People (0)
No published people profiles are currently associated with Lebanon.
Companies (0)
No published company profiles are currently associated with Lebanon.